Monday, January 23, 2012
No Early Bird Special for Romney
We cats have often felt sorry these last few months for whoever at Obama-Biden 2012 is charged with watching the endless Republican clown college debates. Yes, it must be done — but what a tedious, irritating chore it must have been.
Ha! No more. In fact, we might even look in on tonight's Tampa smackdown. If his lamely scripted, haltingly delivered and unconvincing "attacks" on Newt Gingrich today are any indication, Willard Mitt Romney will be the main smackdownee. We'll see.
In the meantime, contrary to what the pundits are saying — particularly that lamebrain, Alex Castellanos — we cats would like to dispute the notion that Willard's absentee-ballot effort gives him some sort of built-in advantage in Florida. Why? Because those folks were going to vote for Willard anyway. Early/absentee voting doesn't translate to cleaning up on the back end of the process.
Also, if you're undecided — and some nine percent of Florida Republicans are — you're not going to vote early, no matter how convenient it is. You're going to wait and see what happens. Somehow, we cats think that unless something seismic occurs, those undecided folks are not going to go for Romney.
We could get all mathematical about this, but numbers aren't our strongest suit. (We were really good in English.) But if this kind of stuff fascinates you, check out the math explained here and here.